Why will the real estate sector rise? Because we have also said in the past, when the round is too high to rise, people may use real estate. Because that's what happens in a cycle. After making money, people will consume, the demand for real estate will rise, and the performance of listed real estate companies will improve. This is a logic in the past. In the middle of this round of market, you can't say that it's useless at all, but I don't think it's completely tenable.
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As a branch of consumer loan, cash loan is not a new thing. In the United States, the rule is payday loan, because they like to eat more than they can afford. Cash loan has become a way of short-term capital turnover. Similar products have been available in China around 2013, but the scale is limited. The eruption of the market began in the second half of 2016, and this time point is particularly heavy Yes, because it was at that time that the Chinese government began a new round of real estate regulation and control over the scale of mortgage loans has become an integral part of the issue. It not only restricts the purchase and loan, but also increases the base of loan interest rate, while the scale of loan is on the contrary.
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Therefore, I say that Monday afternoon is a low point, but it does not mean that this low point is operable. First of all, because the low level is a little low, each large time-sharing cycle does not have a bottom structure, and has just experienced a rapid decline; secondly, from the perspective of fluctuation rhythm, the market will jump out of this rhythm, although we can continue this rhythm before jumping out, but I judge The probability rate will end in this rebound cycle; the third, the thunder of capital allocation explosion has not been eliminated. Although the last trading day before the festival was up, the number of rising companies was far greater than the number of falling companies (2706 to 787), but the number of limit makers was greater than the number of limit makers, and the thunder of individual stocks even ignored the strength of the market.